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    基于RTF-MR-stacking模型致密砂岩含气储层流体测井预测方法

    A Logging-Based Fluid Prediction Approach for Tight Sandstone Gas Reservoirs Using the RTF-MR-stacking Model

    • 摘要: 致密砂岩含气储层预测极具挑战性,常规方法难以有效解决此类问题;因样本数据有限且数据质量差等情况,使用机器学习实现准确的智能预测仍是一大挑战。本文提出了一种基于RTF-MR-stacking模型的致密砂岩含气储层流体测井预测方法;首先设计RTF模型进行数据样本增强,然后使用改进的欠采样算法MAHAKIL与平均互类潜力优化样本,最后使用改进的stacking模块进行流体识别。实验结果表明,该方法应用于苏里格气田强非均质性致密砂岩预测流体,准确率达93%,可有效解决研究区数据样本有限问题对储层流体预测的影响,且性能指标均优于其他主流典型的机器学习模型及同类stacking模型。验证结果表明,基于RTF-MR-stacking的流体预测模型在研究区具有良好的适用性,可为研究区老井盲井产能预测提供高质量的技术支持与理论指导,同时也为传统的致密砂岩储层流体评价提供了新的视角。

       

      Abstract: Prediction of gas-bearing tight sandstone reservoirs is extremely challenging, and conventional methods struggle to address such issues effectively. Owing to the limitations of limited sample data and poor data quality, achieving accurate intelligent prediction using machine learning remains a significant challenge. To tackle these problems, this paper proposes a logging-based fluid prediction method for gas-bearing tight sandstone reservoirs based on the RTF-MR-stacking model. Specifically, the RTF model is first designed for data sample augmentation. Subsequently, the improved undersampling algorithm MAHAKIL combined with the average inter-class potential is employed to optimize the augmented samples. Finally, an enhanced stacking module is utilized to implement fluid identification. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves an accuracy of 93% in fluid prediction for highly heterogeneous tight sandstones in the Sulige Gas Field. It effectively mitigates the adverse impact of limited sample data in the study area on reservoir fluid prediction, and its performance metrics outperform those of other mainstream machine learning models and similar stacking models. Validation results indicate that the fluid prediction model based on RTF-MR-stacking exhibits excellent applicability in the study area. It can provide high-quality technical support and theoretical guidance for productivity prediction of old and blind wells in the region, and also offers a new perspective for conventional fluid evaluation of tight sandstone reservoirs.

       

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