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    基于测井数据PCA-FDA联合分析的川中茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层流体识别

    PCA–FDA-Based Fluid Identification in Fractured-Vuggy Carbonate Reservoirs of the Maokou Formation in Central Sichuan Using Well-Logging Data

    • 摘要: 川中地区二叠系茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层非均质性强,气层、水层与气水同层的常规测井响应存在不同程度重叠,使流体性质识别表现出较强多解性。针对这一问题,本文提出主成分分析(PCA)和费歇尔判别分析(FDA)联合的流体性质识别方法。研究选取11项流体敏感测井参数构建特征矩阵,采用PCA提取前3个主成分,累计贡献率为82.6%,并结合储集空间发育程度、含水响应及导电特征组合变化、流体赋存状态等方面对其地质物理意义进行解释;在此基础上,以主成分作为FDA输入变量,建立气层、气水同层和水层分类函数,并依据后验概率划分确定判别区和模糊判别区。以研究区14口评价井1209组已标定样本为基础开展统计分析,模型总体识别符合率为92.6%,其中气层、水层和气水同层识别符合率分别为99.1%、90.6%和72.6%。典型井应用结果表明,该方法对纯气层和纯水层的识别结果较为稳定,对于致密基质高阻背景下常规解释易误判的气水同层,也可提供一定的辅助判别信息。研究结果可为川中茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层流体性质测井评价提供参考,但对处于气水过渡带或测井响应重叠较强的复杂井段,仍应结合试油测试和其他测井资料进行综合判识。

       

      Abstract:  Fractured-vuggy carbonate reservoirs in the Permian Maokou Formation of the central Sichuan Basin are highly heterogeneous. In such reservoirs, conventional logging responses from gas layers, water layers, and gas-water coexisting intervals commonly overlap, making fluid identification non-unique. To reduce this ambiguity, this study develops a fluid identification scheme by coupling principal component analysis (PCA) with Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA). Eleven fluid-sensitive logging variables were used to build the feature matrix. PCA retained the first three principal components, which together accounted for a cumulative contribution rate of 82.6%. These components were interpreted to represent reservoir-space development, combined variations in water-bearing response and conductive characteristics, and fluid occurrence state. The extracted components were then taken as FDA input variables to construct classification functions for gas layers, gas-water coexisting intervals, and water layers. Posterior probabilities were further used to separate determinate discrimination zones from ambiguous ones. Based on 1,209 calibrated samples from 14 appraisal wells, the model yielded an overall identification agreement rate of 92.6%. The agreement rates for gas layers, water layers, and gas-water coexisting intervals were 99.1%, 90.6%, and 72.6%, respectively. Applications to typical wells show that the method gives relatively stable results for pure gas and pure water layers. For gas-water coexisting intervals that may be misclassified by conventional interpretation under a tight-matrix high-resistivity background, it also provides supplementary discrimination evidence. The results can support logging-based fluid evaluation of fractured-vuggy carbonate reservoirs in the Maokou Formation, central Sichuan Basin. For complex intervals located in gas-water transition zones or with strong logging-response overlap, however, well testing and other logging data are still needed for integrated interpretation.

       

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