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    基于储层模拟与叠前时移地震反演的CO2地质封存地震监测可行性评价方法

    A feasibility evaluation method for seismic monitoring of CO2 geological storage based on reservoir simulation and pre-stack time-lapse AVO inversion

    • 摘要: 深层咸水层是CO2地质封存的重要储层,为评估其封存能力并监测CO2羽流的迁移过程,以Sleipner地区Utsira地层砂岩储层为研究对象,构建CO2封存数值模拟模型,结合Hertz-Mindlin公式和Gassmann方程预测储层弹性参数。在此基础上,通过AVO/AVA正演和叠前时移反演构成“储层模拟—岩石物理—正演分析—叠前反演”的一体化评价流程。研究结果表明,储层纵波速度对CO2饱和度变化最为敏感,随饱和度增加而显著降低,且表现出明显的临界饱和度阈值效应,超过该阈值后速度变化趋于平缓。叠前角道集振幅在低饱和度区间能够灵敏地反映饱和度变化,但随着饱和度进一步增加,振幅的变化趋势趋于饱和。合成数据时移叠前反演结果表明,纵波阻抗的时移变化能够稳定且定量地指示CO2羽流的运移路径与空间分布,并对随机噪声表现出良好的鲁棒性,而横波阻抗反演结果则对噪声较为敏感。合成数据模型应用结果验证了所建流程用于CO2地质封存监测的适用性,可为相关监测方法研究提供理论依据与参考。

       

      Abstract: Deep saline aquifers are critical reservoirs for CO2 geological storage. To evaluate their storage capacity and monitor CO2 plume migration, this study constructs a numerical simulation model for CO2 storage in the sandstone reservoirs of the Utsira Formation in Sleipner area, and predicts reservoir elastic parameters by combining the Hertz-Mindlin formula with the Gassmann equation. On this basis, an evaluation workflow integrating reservoir simulation, rock physics, forward modeling, and pre-stack inversion is established through AVO/AVA forward modeling and pre-stack time-lapse inversion. The results indicate that reservoir P-wave velocity is most sensitive to changes in CO2 saturation, decreasing significantly with increasing saturation and exhibiting a distinct critical saturation threshold, beyond which the velocity variation tends to level off. Amplitudes of pre-stack angle gathers are sensitive to saturation variations within the low-saturation range; however, as saturation further increases, the amplitude response tends to saturate. Pre-stack time-lapse inversion results of synthetic data demonstrate that time-lapse variations in P-wave impedance can stably and quantitatively indicate the migration pathways and spatial distribution of the CO2 plume, exhibiting good robustness against random noise, whereas S-wave impedance inversion results are relatively sensitive to noise. This study verifies the applicability of the proposed workflow for CO2 geological storage monitoring through a synthetic data model, providing a theoretical basis and reference for relevant monitoring methodology research.

       

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