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    基于测井数据PCA-FDA联合分析的川中茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层流体识别

    Fluid identification in fractured-vuggy carbonate reservoirs of the Maokou Formation in central Sichuan based on PCA–FDA of well logging data

    • 摘要: 川中地区二叠系茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层非均质性强,气层、水层与气水同层的常规测井响应存在不同程度重叠,使流体性质识别表现出较强多解性。针对这一问题,提出主成分分析(PCA)和费歇尔判别分析(FDA)联合的流体性质识别方法。选取11项流体敏感测井参数构建特征矩阵,采用PCA提取前3个主成分,累计贡献率为82.6%,并结合储集空间发育程度、含水响应及导电特征组合变化、流体赋存状态等方面对其地质物理意义进行解释;在此基础上,以主成分作为FDA输入变量,建立气层、气水同层和水层分类函数,并依据后验概率划分确定判别区和模糊判别区。以研究区14口评价井1 209组已标定样本为基础开展统计分析,模型总体识别符合率为92.6%,其中气层、水层和气水同层识别符合率分别为99.1%,90.6%和72.6%。典型井应用结果表明,该方法对纯气层和纯水层的识别结果较为稳定,对于致密基质高阻背景下常规解释易误判的气水同层,也可提供一定的辅助判别信息。研究结果可为川中茅口组缝洞型碳酸盐岩储层流体性质测井评价提供参考,但对处于气水过渡带或测井响应重叠较强的复杂井段,仍应结合试油测试和其他测井资料进行综合判识。

       

      Abstract: Fractured-vuggy carbonate reservoirs of the Permian Maokou Formation in the central Sichuan Basin are highly heterogeneous, and conventional log responses of gas, water, and gas–water layers overlap to varying degrees, making fluid identification highly uncertain. To reduce this ambiguity, this study proposes a fluid identification scheme by combining principal component analysis (PCA) and Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA). Eleven fluid-sensitive log parameters are used to build a feature matrix, from which PCA extracts the first three principal components with a cumulative contribution rate of 82.6%. These components are interpreted in terms of reservoir-space development, combined variations in water responses and conductivity characteristics, and fluid occurrence. The principal components are then used as FDA inputs to construct classification functions for gas, gas–water, and water layers. Posterior probabilities are further used to define determinate and ambiguous discrimination zones. Based on 1,209 calibrated samples from 14 appraisal wells, the model yields an overall identification accuracy of 92.6%, with 99.1% for gas layers, 90.6% for water layers, and 72.6% for gas–water layers. Applications to typical wells show that the method achieves relatively stable results for pure gas and water layers. For gas–water layers that may be misclassified by conventional interpretation under a tight-matrix high-resistivity background, it also provides supplementary discrimination. The results can support log-based fluid evaluation of fractured-vuggy carbonate reservoirs of the Maokou Formation in the central Sichuan Basin. However, for complex intervals in gas–water transition zones or those with strong log-response overlap, oil testing and other logging data are still needed for integrated interpretation.

       

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